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What is every hand worth on a 9 9 5 paired flop?

On a 9 9 5 paired flop, any hand with a nine flops trips and dominates a random hand, overpairs stay strong, and tiny pocket pairs sink to a coin flip because the five counterfeits them.

9 9 5

Paired boards

Equity vs one random hand

99 100.0%
95o 98.8%
55 95.8%
A9o 95.4%

Notable hands on 9 9 5

HandFlopsEquityWhy it matters
99 quads 100.0% Four nines. The single remaining combo of this hand owns the deck.
95o full house 98.8% Nines full of fives from a hand with no preflop dignity whatsoever.
55 full house 95.8% Fives full of nines. The small pocket pair that actually wanted this flop.
A9o trips 95.4% Trips with the best kicker, happy to play for everything.
T9s trips 94.8% Trips from a normal, playable hand, which is rarer here than you would think.
AA two pair 87.5% Aces and nines, the strongest hand that skips the trips party.
88 two pair 75.6% A middling pocket pair still comfortably in front of a random hand.
22 two pair 47.1% Counterfeited by the board: a made pair playing below a coin flip.
65s two pair 66.5% A pair of fives that wins more often than it loses. The side card matters.
JTs nothing yet 44.0% Connected, suited, and stranded: no pair, no draw, no argument.

A paired middle board with a real side card plays differently from its cleaner cousins, and the five is the difference. On 9 9 5 the usual paired-board rules apply, trips rule, pockets prosper, air suffers, but that five adds a second live rank that quietly rewrites the fine print at the bottom of the table.

Up top, no surprises. Pocket nines make quads, from the one combo the flop leaves possible. 95 flops nines full of fives, and pocket fives fill up as well, fives full of nines. Any nine at all is trips, whether it arrived as A9 or T9 suited, with the kicker settling the rest. Below them, every overpair from tens through aces plays as a strong two pair and handles a random hand comfortably.

The five is what makes the bottom interesting. Pocket deuces are technically a made pair, but the board already holds nines and a five: any opponent card that pairs the five makes nines and fives, which beats nines and deuces outright, and every higher pair piles on from above. The smallest pockets sag to a coin flip or worse against two random cards. Meanwhile 65 and 54, hands that merely touch the five, hold a live pair that actually plays.

The classic error here is the hero fold with an overpair, or its cousin, the crying call with ace high. Because trips are rare, big pairs remain excellent against a random hand, and most aggression on boards like this is two players arguing over nothing. The second error is dismissing kicker quality with trips: T9 and A9 are both trips, and across a session the gap between those kickers is real money. Paired boards look simple; the five makes this one worth a second read.

All 169 hands on 9 9 5

Equity of every starting hand class against one random opponent hand on 9 9 5, averaged over the class's possible suit combinations. Sorted best to worst within each group.

Pairs

HandFlopsEquity
99 quads 100.0%
55 full house 95.8%
AA two pair 87.5%
KK two pair 85.3%
QQ two pair 83.0%
JJ two pair 80.8%
TT two pair 78.7%
88 two pair 75.6%
77 two pair 73.1%
66 two pair 70.3%
44 two pair 51.7%
33 two pair 49.6%
22 two pair 47.1%

Suited

HandFlopsEquity
95s full house 98.8%
A9s trips 95.5%
K9s trips 95.3%
98s trips 95.3%
Q9s trips 95.2%
J9s trips 95.1%
97s trips 95.1%
96s trips 94.9%
T9s trips 94.8%
93s trips 94.0%
94s trips 93.9%
92s trips 93.8%
A5s two pair 72.5%
K5s two pair 71.0%
Q5s two pair 69.7%
J5s two pair 68.6%
T5s two pair 67.8%
85s two pair 67.8%
75s two pair 67.0%
65s two pair 66.5%
53s two pair 63.3%
52s two pair 63.2%
54s two pair 63.1%
AKs 62.7%
AQs 61.8%
AJs 60.9%
ATs 60.1%
A8s 59.8%
A7s 59.2%
A6s 58.4%
A4s 56.1%
A3s 56.0%
A2s 55.8%
KQs 55.5%
KJs 54.6%
KTs 53.6%
K8s 52.9%
K7s 52.0%
K6s 51.1%
QJs 48.9%
QTs 48.2%
K4s 48.0%
K3s 47.9%
K2s 47.7%
Q8s 47.6%
Q7s 45.7%
Q6s 45.2%
JTs 44.0%
87s 43.8%
J8s 43.3%
86s 42.1%
Q4s 41.7%
J7s 41.6%
Q3s 41.4%
Q2s 41.3%
76s 40.6%
J6s 39.7%
T8s 38.7%
T7s 37.2%
J4s 36.3%
J3s 36.1%
J2s 35.8%
T6s 35.3%
T4s 31.5%
T3s 31.3%
T2s 31.1%
84s 29.1%
83s 28.8%
82s 28.8%
74s 27.5%
73s 27.1%
64s 26.4%
63s 26.1%
72s 25.6%
62s 24.7%
43s 22.6%
42s 21.2%
32s 20.9%

Offsuit

HandFlopsEquity
95o full house 98.8%
A9o trips 95.4%
K9o trips 95.3%
98o trips 95.2%
Q9o trips 95.1%
J9o trips 95.0%
97o trips 95.0%
96o trips 94.9%
T9o trips 94.7%
93o trips 93.8%
94o trips 93.7%
92o trips 93.7%
A5o two pair 71.8%
K5o two pair 70.1%
Q5o two pair 68.8%
J5o two pair 67.7%
T5o two pair 66.8%
85o two pair 66.8%
75o two pair 66.0%
65o two pair 65.8%
54o two pair 62.3%
53o two pair 62.2%
52o two pair 62.0%
AKo 61.4%
AQo 60.3%
AJo 59.5%
ATo 58.6%
A8o 58.6%
A7o 57.6%
A6o 56.9%
A4o 54.7%
A3o 54.5%
A2o 54.3%
KQo 53.7%
KJo 52.9%
KTo 52.1%
K8o 51.2%
K7o 50.5%
K6o 49.7%
QJo 47.2%
QTo 46.6%
K4o 46.4%
K3o 46.1%
K2o 45.8%
Q8o 45.7%
Q7o 43.9%
Q6o 43.2%
JTo 42.1%
87o 41.9%
J8o 41.2%
86o 40.4%
Q4o 39.7%
J7o 39.5%
Q3o 39.5%
Q2o 39.3%
76o 38.5%
J6o 37.6%
T8o 36.6%
T7o 34.9%
J4o 34.0%
J3o 33.9%
J2o 33.7%
T6o 32.9%
T4o 29.2%
T3o 29.0%
T2o 28.8%
84o 26.7%
83o 26.6%
82o 26.4%
74o 24.9%
73o 24.8%
64o 23.8%
63o 23.7%
72o 23.1%
62o 22.1%
43o 19.9%
42o 18.5%
32o 18.3%

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