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What is every hand worth on a 7 7 2 paired flop?

On a 7 7 2 paired flop, any hand containing a seven flops trips and crushes a random hand, every pocket pair plays as two pair or better, and unpaired big cards like AK gain almost nothing.

7 7 2

Paired boards

Equity vs one random hand

77 100.0%
72o 98.4%
A7o 96.6%
87s 95.5%

Notable hands on 7 7 2

HandFlopsEquityWhy it matters
77 quads 100.0% Four sevens, from the single combo of the hand this flop leaves behind.
72o full house 98.4% Sevens full of deuces. The worst hand in poker finally has its day.
A7o trips 96.6% Trips, ace kicker. The best of the ordinary mortals.
87s trips 95.5% A speculative connector that flopped trips like any other seven.
22 full house 95.0% Deuces full of sevens, a full house hiding in the smallest pair.
AA two pair 88.8% An overpair promoted to two pair by the board, and a big favorite.
99 two pair 77.7% Nines and sevens. Middle pairs do far better here than their reputation.
AKo nothing yet 62.1% Two big cards, no pair, and only a modest edge on a random hand.
JTs nothing yet 42.7% An underdog to two random cards. Paired low boards have no use for pretty.
K7o trips 96.3% Another unplayable hand that woke up holding trips.

Pair the middle of the deck instead of the top and the caste system gets stranger. On 7 7 2, the hands that truly connect are hands almost nobody plays: any seven flops trips, and the sevens people do hold, 76, 87, A7 suited, tend to be speculative types. Meanwhile the entire premium tier arrives with an overpair to the board and nothing more. It makes for lopsided, awkward pots.

The champion combos are comedy material. Pocket sevens flop four of a kind, with exactly one combo of the hand left in the deck to do it. 72 offsuit, the official worst hand in poker, flops sevens full of deuces and beats effectively everything else. Every other seven holds trips, with the kicker sorting out the family feud, and pocket deuces sneak in with the underfull, deuces full of sevens, a monster wearing a paper bag.

One step down live the pocket pairs, all upgraded to two pair by the board and all well ahead of a random hand: aces on top, then kings, queens, and so on down the ladder. The step below that is where it gets ugly. AK unimproved is only a modest favorite, KQ is close to a coin flip, and pretty connectors like JT suited are outright underdogs. Nothing about a 7 7 2 flop wants to help a broadway hand.

The mistake is misreading how little the flop changed for both ranges. Players holding big cards keep betting as if paint were equity, and players facing bets fold pairs that are almost certainly best. Against one random hand the rule of thumb is blunt: a pair of eights outperforms AK here, and it is not particularly close. When the board pairs low, the pot belongs to pockets and sevens.

All 169 hands on 7 7 2

Equity of every starting hand class against one random opponent hand on 7 7 2, averaged over the class's possible suit combinations. Sorted best to worst within each group.

Pairs

HandFlopsEquity
77 quads 100.0%
22 full house 95.0%
AA two pair 88.8%
KK two pair 86.4%
QQ two pair 84.2%
JJ two pair 81.9%
TT two pair 79.7%
99 two pair 77.7%
88 two pair 75.5%
66 two pair 70.2%
55 two pair 67.7%
44 two pair 64.8%
33 two pair 62.0%

Suited

HandFlopsEquity
72s full house 98.4%
A7s trips 96.7%
K7s trips 96.4%
Q7s trips 96.1%
J7s trips 96.0%
T7s trips 95.8%
97s trips 95.7%
87s trips 95.5%
76s trips 95.3%
75s trips 95.2%
74s trips 95.0%
73s trips 95.0%
A2s two pair 68.0%
K2s two pair 66.0%
Q2s two pair 64.7%
AKs 63.4%
J2s two pair 63.3%
AQs 62.5%
T2s two pair 62.3%
AJs 61.7%
92s two pair 61.5%
82s two pair 60.9%
ATs 60.6%
62s two pair 60.2%
A9s 59.8%
52s two pair 59.7%
42s two pair 59.4%
A8s 59.1%
32s two pair 59.0%
A5s 58.3%
A6s 58.2%
A4s 58.0%
A3s 57.7%
KQs 55.1%
KJs 54.3%
KTs 53.5%
K9s 52.6%
K8s 51.8%
K6s 51.0%
K5s 50.3%
K4s 50.0%
K3s 49.5%
QJs 47.8%
QTs 47.2%
Q9s 46.0%
Q8s 45.2%
Q6s 44.5%
Q5s 43.8%
Q4s 43.6%
Q3s 43.1%
JTs 42.7%
J9s 41.8%
J8s 41.0%
J6s 39.1%
J5s 38.5%
T9s 38.3%
J4s 38.1%
J3s 37.8%
T8s 37.5%
T6s 35.8%
98s 35.0%
T5s 33.9%
T4s 33.4%
T3s 33.2%
96s 33.1%
95s 31.4%
86s 31.4%
94s 29.8%
85s 29.7%
93s 29.5%
65s 28.8%
84s 27.7%
64s 26.9%
54s 26.5%
83s 26.4%
63s 25.5%
53s 25.0%
43s 23.8%

Offsuit

HandFlopsEquity
72o full house 98.4%
A7o trips 96.6%
K7o trips 96.3%
Q7o trips 96.1%
J7o trips 95.8%
T7o trips 95.8%
97o trips 95.6%
87o trips 95.5%
76o trips 95.3%
75o trips 95.1%
74o trips 94.9%
73o trips 94.9%
A2o two pair 66.9%
K2o two pair 65.0%
Q2o two pair 63.4%
J2o two pair 62.2%
AKo 62.1%
T2o two pair 61.1%
AQo 60.9%
92o two pair 60.2%
AJo 60.1%
82o two pair 59.6%
ATo 59.3%
62o two pair 59.2%
52o two pair 58.6%
A9o 58.4%
42o two pair 58.2%
32o two pair 57.8%
A8o 57.7%
A5o 57.0%
A6o 56.8%
A3o 56.5%
A4o 56.4%
KQo 53.5%
KJo 52.4%
KTo 51.7%
K9o 50.9%
K8o 49.9%
K6o 49.1%
K5o 48.4%
K4o 48.1%
K3o 47.8%
QJo 46.0%
QTo 45.2%
Q9o 44.1%
Q8o 43.4%
Q6o 42.5%
Q5o 42.0%
Q4o 41.5%
Q3o 41.1%
JTo 40.7%
J9o 39.6%
J8o 39.0%
J6o 36.9%
J5o 36.3%
T9o 36.1%
J4o 35.8%
J3o 35.5%
T8o 35.3%
T6o 33.3%
98o 32.9%
T5o 31.6%
T4o 31.1%
T3o 30.9%
96o 30.8%
86o 28.9%
95o 28.9%
85o 27.3%
94o 27.3%
93o 26.9%
65o 26.1%
84o 25.4%
64o 24.5%
54o 24.0%
83o 23.9%
63o 22.8%
53o 22.5%
43o 21.4%

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