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Who has the range advantage on 9 9 5?

Nobody owns this flop: equities run 50.9% to 49.1% and neither side has a nut edge.

BTN vs BB single-raised pot: the button opens, the big blind calls.

wet / rainbow / connected / paired

Button: 50.9% Big Blind: 49.1%
Button strong hands: 32.4% Big Blind strong hands: 32.3%

Share of each range that is sets, two pair, overpairs, straights or better, and combo draws. This is who wins the big pots.

No range edge and no nut edge. Position and the turn card decide this one, so keep the pot manageable until the Button knows more. Try unpairing the board and see who the trips were protecting.

A paired middle board where the big blind holds most of the nines and the button holds most of the overpairs. Raw equity says raiser; the biggest pots say caller.

Range breakdown

Category Button Big Blind Edge
Set / Trips 10.5% 11.0% even
Two Pair 20.8% 20.4% even
Straight+ 1.1% 0.9% even
Bottom Pair 67.6% 67.7% even

Sorted by impact. Computed exhaustively by the Poker Shark equity engine over both full ranges.

Knowing the edge is step one

Playing it against opponents who miss it is where the money comes from. Train on boards like this one.

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