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Who has the range advantage on 9 6 2 monotone?

Clear Button edge: the Button has nearly all the overpairs, and the Button has more overcard hands.

BTN vs BB single-raised pot: the button opens, the big blind calls.

medium / monotone

Button: 52.8% Big Blind: 47.2%
Button strong hands: 16.2% Big Blind strong hands: 9.6%

Share of each range that is sets, two pair, overpairs, straights or better, and combo draws. This is who wins the big pots.

The Button owns the flush half of this board. Bet, but remember one card changes everything on the turn. Try breaking the suit on one card and see how much of the edge was the flush.

A suit lottery on an otherwise empty board. Made flushes are rare in both ranges, so the fight is over who holds one big card of the suit, and both ranges hold plenty.

Range breakdown

Category Button Big Blind Edge
Overpair 6.0% 0.0% +6.0% BTN
Overcards 18.0% 12.3% +5.7% BTN
Air 16.8% 21.9% +5.2% BB
Bottom Pair 1.2% 5.3% +4.1% BB
Top Pair, Good Kicker 12.0% 14.0% +2.1% BB
Combo Draw 1.2% 0.0% +1.2% BTN

Sorted by impact. Computed exhaustively by the Poker Shark equity engine over both full ranges.

Knowing the edge is step one

Playing it against opponents who miss it is where the money comes from. Train on boards like this one.

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