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KK vs KQ: how bad can it get?

Pocket kings beat king-queen about 90% of the time all-in preflop.

89.7%

KK

vs
10.3%

KQ

By suits

KK vs KQs: 86.1%KK vs KQo: 90.9%

This is the aces-against-ace-king cooler one floor down. The kings hold the third king, so king-queen cannot even dream of pairing its top card; it is drawing at three queens and some straight glue. Ninety percent against ten. The spot arrives innocently: king-queen calls a raise, the board comes king-high, and the money goes in with top pair against a set. Preflop all-ins here are rarer, but when they happen it is usually a short stack with king-queen suited running into the top of the deck. There is no fix, only the comfort that holding the kings side of it pays for a lot of bad beats.

Quick tip: Top pair with king-queen on a king-high board is strong right up until a kings-heavy opponent will not stop raising. Sets live there.

All numbers are all-in preflop equity vs one opponent, computed by the Poker Shark equity engine from the full 169 by 169 hand matrix, weighted across suited and offsuit combos.

Know the number? Now win the spot.

Practice these exact collisions against opponents who get it in wrong, and learn to punish them.

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